Housing Market Trends

From the First American Economic Center

The First American Economic Center has you covered with in-depth analysis and expert insights on the latest data and trends in the industry.

Interviews on FOXBusiness and CNBC: Discussing the Outlook for the Housing Market and Economy and the Impact of Tax Law Changes

By FirstAm Editor on May 22, 2019
First American Chief Economist Mark Fleming was interviewed on FOXBusiness and CNBC on Tuesday and discussed the outlook for the housing market and broader economy as well as the impact of tax law changes on housing. Read More

Housing In The News Interest Rates Affordability

Why Did Housing Market Potential Improve in April?

By Mark Fleming on May 20, 2019
The housing market continued to underperform its potential in April 2019, but the performance gap shrank compared with March. Actual existing-home sales remain 1.3 percent below the market’s potential, but the performance gap narrowed from 2.0 percent last month, according to our Potential Home Sales model. That means the housing market has the ... Read More

Interest Rates Federal Reserve Homeownership Potential Home Sales

How Have the 2017 Tax Law Changes Impacted Real Estate Prices?

By Odeta Kushi on May 13, 2019
Enacted in 2017, the Tax Cuts and Jobs Act reduced tax breaks for homeowners. At the time, many in the real estate industry expected the changes to negatively impact the housing market, particularly in high-priced neighborhoods. The industry concern primarily focused on two specific changes included in the bill: the mortgage interest deduction was ... Read More

Affordability Taxes Homeownership

Why Everything You Know About First-Time Home Buyer Affordability is Wrong

By FirstAm Editor on May 8, 2019
We’ve published the findings from a new study that provides an in-depth look at the trends shaping affordability, specifically for first-time home buyers, titled “Why Everything You Know About First-Time Home Buyer Affordability is Wrong.” The study, developed by First American Chief Economist Mark Fleming and Deputy Chief Economist Odeta Kushi, ... Read More

Affordability First-Time Home Buyer Outlook Report

The Two Competing Forces Impacting Fraud Risk

By Mark Fleming on April 30, 2019
Loan application defect risk for purchase transactions continued its upward trend in March, increasing 1.0 percent month-over-month, according to the Loan Application Defect Index. Defect risk for purchase transactions has risen for seven consecutive months, however, the pace of growth slowed to its lowest point over that time span. Overall, the ... Read More

Fraud Loan Application Defect Index

Six Cities Leading Shift Toward A Buyers' Market

By Mark Fleming on April 29, 2019
Throughout 2018, consistent growth among three driving forces – mortgage rates, household income and unadjusted house prices – defined the housing market. These three factors are also the core elements of the Real House Price Index (RHPI). While household income rose steadily in 2018, rising mortgage rates offset any affordability benefit for home ... Read More

Interest Rates Real House Price Index Affordability