2025 Affordability Outlook: It's Groundhog Day for Home Buyers with a Glimmer of Light
By
Mark Fleming on February 4, 2025
Key Points: National affordability improved on an annual basis in December. If mortgage rates ease to 6.5 percent by the end of the year, income growth trends lower but remains positive, and nominal house price growth moderates, affordability will improve a modest 2 percent by the end of the year. Even with a potential 2 percent improvement by ...
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Supply Surge Improving Affordability in South and West
By
Mark Fleming on December 27, 2024
Key Points: Affordability fell by 4 percent on a month-over-month basis, the second consecutive month of decline. Yet affordability remains improved on an annual basis. Housing supply has increased nationally and in 49 of the top 50 markets we track on a year-over-year basis. As more homes are listed for sale, the power dynamics can shift in favor ...
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Uncertain Mortgage Rate Outlook Clouds Affordability Heading into 2025
By
Mark Fleming on November 27, 2024
Key Points: Affordability fell by 2.6 percent on a month-over-month basis, snapping a four-month streak of improving affordability. House-buying power declined by more than $14,000 due to the increase in mortgage rates since October. If the average mortgage rate decreases to the year-end consensus industry forecast of 6.2 percent and annual house ...
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Housing Affordability Improves Nationally for Second Straight Month
By
Mark Fleming on October 29, 2024
Key Points: National affordability improved on an annual basis for the second consecutive month yet remains low historically. In deciding whether to rent or own, it’s important to remember the wealth-building power of equity accumulation. Even homeowners who bought at the height of the housing boom in 2006 have gained $169,000 in equity, while ...
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National Housing Affordability Improves Annually for First Time in Post-Pandemic Era
By
Mark Fleming on September 30, 2024
Key Points: National affordability improved on an annual basis for the first time since 2021. If mortgage rates ease further to 6 percent by the end of the year, income growth trends towards historical average, and nominal house price growth slows but remains positive, affordability will improve by over 7 percent by the end of the year. Industry ...
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Affordability Improves for Second Straight Month, but Home Buyers Shrug
By
Mark Fleming on August 26, 2024
Key Points: In July, affordability improved annually in 12 markets for the first time since 2021. Despite the improvement in affordability, the only 17 percent of consumers indicated that it’s a good time to buy a home, down from 19 percent in June, according to the Fannie Mae Home Purchase Sentiment Index (HPSI). Affordability nationally remains ...
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