The Great Office Downsizing Isn’t Over

By Xander Snyder on July 11, 2024
It’s no secret that office properties are, on average, struggling more than other property types. With tenants requiring less office space than they did only a few years ago, office prices are down by approximately 50 percent in urban locations, compared to pre-pandemic levels. The main driver behind this trend is now a familiar story – remote ... Read More

Commercial Real Estate Office

CRE X-Factor - How Deep Will Office Demand Contraction Get?

By Xander Snyder on June 28, 2024
The rapid and broad adoption of remote work spurred by the pandemic allowed people to work in residential space, instead of office space, at a scale unimaginable just a few years ago. This dramatically reduced the demand for office space, with particularly steep contractions in some markets. While the final depth of this demand contraction remains ... Read More

Commercial Real Estate Office

The Geometry of Apartment Prices: When Down Is Still Up

By Xander Snyder on June 17, 2024
There weren’t many apartment units purchased in the first quarter of this year. In fact, purchases of multifamily properties dropped to the lowest levels observed since the early days of the pandemic four years ago. One clear contributor to this decline is the increased cost of capital – interest rates are considerably higher than they were ... Read More

Commercial Real Estate multifamily market Multifamily

CRE X-Factor - Multifamily Transaction Volume is Down, but is there a Hidden Urbanization Trend?

By Xander Snyder on June 3, 2024
Multifamily transaction volume in the first quarter of 2024 hit the lowest levels observed since the early days of pandemic quarantines. In a recent blog post, we analyzed what types of units were trading in terms of unit quality – that is, Class A, B or C [1]. In this X-Factor, we’ll examine multifamily transaction volume, but from different ... Read More

Commercial Real Estate

What’s that Apartment Building Worth? Fewer Multifamily Transactions Drive Market Uncertainty

By Xander Snyder on May 15, 2024
It’s hard to know what apartment buildings are worth nowadays. With multifamily transaction volume at its lowest point in four years, comparable transactions, or “comps”, which are often used as a reference point to estimate value, are few and far between. The limited availability of comps increases the uncertainty of property valuation estimates. ... Read More

Commercial Real Estate multifamily market Potential Cap Rate Model Multifamily

Analyzing CRE Transaction Volume – Retail a Relative Bright Spot in Bleak Q1

By Xander Snyder on April 30, 2024
Commercial Real Estate (CRE) transaction volume is usually measured in terms of nominal dollars. “Nominal” just means that these dollars aren’t inflation adjusted. Of course, inflation surged to levels not seen since the early 1980s in 2022. But standard inflation adjustments leave something to be desired in the case of CRE transaction volume, as ... Read More

Commercial Real Estate

CRE X-Factor - Renters May Gain Some Temporary Leverage as Flood of New Apartment Supply Comes to Market

By Xander Snyder on April 15, 2024
Similar to the for-sale housing market, apartment leasing trends are seasonal. Typically, both renters and home buyers are more likely to move in the spring than in the winter. After all, while people in warm-weather climates might have an easier time moving year-round, for many it’s hard to move when there’s snow on the ground or other inclement ... Read More

Commercial Real Estate

CRE X-Factor - The Link Between CRE Mortgage Maturities and Transactions

By Xander Snyder on March 29, 2024
Over the last two years, commercial real estate (CRE) transaction volume has declined precipitously as interest rates soared. Currently, the market is at a multi-year trough in transaction activity, and many are wondering when it may pick back up. Though it’s hard to say with certainty, one factor that will invariably play a role in the recovery ... Read More

Commercial Real Estate

Measuring the Foreclosure Risk in Commercial Real Estate Assets

By Xander Snyder on March 18, 2024
While there is a substantial quantity of commercial real estate (CRE) debt maturing this year, there’s nothing inherently dangerous about a mortgage coming due. Challenges arise when maturities occur simultaneously with one of two other challenges. The first is when a building is not generating sufficient income to cover its expenses, which is ... Read More

Commercial Real Estate

What’s Behind the Surge in Industrial Cap Rates?

By Xander Snyder on February 23, 2024
Though the industrial market is softening compared to the pandemic days of double-digit rent growth and record-low vacancy, it is far from weak. Despite slowing rent growth and modestly rising vacancies, demand to lease industrial space remains strong, driven by long-term trends such as rising eCommerce sales, retailers’ need for modern logistics ... Read More

Commercial Real Estate industrial real estate Potential Cap Rate Model

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