Recent Posts by Mark Fleming
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Mark Fleming is the chief economist for First American Financial Corporation and leads First American’s Decision Sciences team.
2025 Affordability Outlook: It's Groundhog Day for Home Buyers with a Glimmer of Light
By
Mark Fleming on February 4, 2025
Key Points: National affordability improved on an annual basis in December. If mortgage rates ease to 6.5 percent by the end of the year, income growth trends lower but remains positive, and nominal house price growth moderates, affordability will improve a modest 2 percent by the end of the year. Even with a potential 2 percent improvement by ...
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Supply Surge Improving Affordability in South and West
By
Mark Fleming on December 27, 2024
Key Points: Affordability fell by 4 percent on a month-over-month basis, the second consecutive month of decline. Yet affordability remains improved on an annual basis. Housing supply has increased nationally and in 49 of the top 50 markets we track on a year-over-year basis. As more homes are listed for sale, the power dynamics can shift in favor ...
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Uncertain Mortgage Rate Outlook Clouds Affordability Heading into 2025
By
Mark Fleming on November 27, 2024
Key Points: Affordability fell by 2.6 percent on a month-over-month basis, snapping a four-month streak of improving affordability. House-buying power declined by more than $14,000 due to the increase in mortgage rates since October. If the average mortgage rate decreases to the year-end consensus industry forecast of 6.2 percent and annual house ...
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Housing Affordability Improves Nationally for Second Straight Month
By
Mark Fleming on October 29, 2024
Key Points: National affordability improved on an annual basis for the second consecutive month yet remains low historically. In deciding whether to rent or own, it’s important to remember the wealth-building power of equity accumulation. Even homeowners who bought at the height of the housing boom in 2006 have gained $169,000 in equity, while ...
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2024 House Price Blitz – Analyzing NFL Divisions by Median House Prices
By
Mark Fleming on October 7, 2024
Key Points: The NFC West has the highest median sales prices because it’s home to three of the most expensive markets in the country: San Francisco, Los Angeles, and Seattle. The AFC north has the lowest median sale prices because it includes two of the least expensive markets in the country – Cleveland and Pittsburgh. Markets comprising the NFC ...
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National Housing Affordability Improves Annually for First Time in Post-Pandemic Era
By
Mark Fleming on September 30, 2024
Key Points: National affordability improved on an annual basis for the first time since 2021. If mortgage rates ease further to 6 percent by the end of the year, income growth trends towards historical average, and nominal house price growth slows but remains positive, affordability will improve by over 7 percent by the end of the year. Industry ...
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