Economic Center Blog
Welcome to the First American Economic Center Blog, a top source for the latest housing market research and analysis driven by Chief Economist Mark Fleming.

Why Today’s Housing Market May Be A Recession Buster

By Odeta Kushi on February 4, 2020

In the third quarter of 2019, the United States reached its longest economic expansion in history, which caused some people to wonder whether we were overdue for a correction. Additionally, global uncertainty resulted in a flight to safety of U.S. Treasury bonds, prompting the dreaded inversion of the yield curve. When that happened, we...

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Topics: Housing Interest Rates Wage Growth economic outlook

Interviews On CNBC And Yahoo! Finance: 2020 Housing Outlook – Why Persistently Low Mortgage Rates May Help And Hurt Home Buyers

By FirstAm Editor on December 23, 2019

First American Chief Economist Mark Fleming was interviewed on CNBC and Yahoo! Finance last week, discussing the 2020 outlook for the housing market and how persistently low mortgage rates may both help and hurt home buyers in the year ahead.

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Topics: Housing In The News Interest Rates Affordability

Where Lower-Income Renters Can Pursue The Dream Of Homeownership

By Odeta Kushi on December 12, 2019

In 2019, the growth in consumer house-buying power outpaced house price appreciation for the median renter trying to buy the median priced home. But, there are many renters with household incomes below the median income in their cities. We can measure affordability for all renter households based on their household income and the share of homes...

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Topics: Housing Affordability Homeownership First-Time Home Buyer Outlook Report

What Cities Are The Most Affordability Friendly For First-Time Home Buyers?

By Odeta Kushi on December 10, 2019

Housing affordability, or the lack thereof, continued to generate discussion and headlines in 2019. That’s unlikely to change in 2020, as strong demand, driven by low mortgage rates and wage growth, collides with limited housing supply. However, it’s easy to overlook that nearly two-thirds of Americans already own homes so, generally speaking,...

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Topics: Housing Affordability Homeownership First-Time Home Buyer Outlook Report

Why The Time May Be Right For New Home Construction To Accelerate

By Odeta Kushi on November 8, 2019

Thus far in 2019, the story of the housing market has been a tale of strong housing demand and limited supply. On the demand side, steadily rising house-buying power has fueled greater demand. Falling mortgage rates and rising household income sparked a nearly 12.6 percent increase in house-buying power year to date through September. The...

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Topics: Housing New Home Buying housing starts

Interview On Nightly Business Report: Discussing Surge In Potential Housing Supply

By FirstAm Editor on September 24, 2019

First American Deputy Chief Economist Odeta Kushi was interviewed on Nightly Business Report last week and discussed the dramatic jump in housing starts to a 12-year high, signaling the potential for some housing supply relief in the near future.

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Topics: Housing In The News Interest Rates housing starts