Where are House Prices Moderating the Most?

By Mark Fleming on August 29, 2022
In June 2022, the Real House Price Index (RHPI) jumped up by 53.3 percent on an annual basis, setting a new record for the fifth month in a row for the fastest year-over-year growth in the more than 30-year history of the series. This rapid annual decline in affordability was driven by an 18.5 percent annual increase in nominal house prices and a ... Read More

Interest Rates Real House Price Index Affordability

Is this the Great Normalization of the Housing Market?

By Mark Fleming on August 17, 2022
According to our Potential Home Sales Model, the market potential for existing-home sales in July was estimated to be 5.45 million at a seasonally adjusted annualized rate (SAAR), down 0.2 percent compared with last month, and 14.4 percent lower than one year ago. Read More

Interest Rates Potential Home Sales tenure

Where Potential First-Time Home Buyers Can Find Relief from the Affordability Shock

By Ksenia Potapov on August 10, 2022
Following two years of red-hot activity accelerated by pandemic-era dynamics, the housing market is cooling as demand falls in response to a significant decline in affordability. Double-digit house-price appreciation chipped away at affordability as the pandemic-driven supply and demand imbalance fueled competition for a limited inventory of homes ... Read More

Homeownership First-Time Home Buyer Outlook Report Renter Affordability

Will Rising Mortgage Rates Trigger an 'ARMs' Race for Home Buyers?

By Mark Fleming on July 22, 2022
In May 2022, the Real House Price Index (RHPI) jumped up by 50.8 percent year over year, which is the fastest growth in the more than 30-year history of the series. This rapid annual decline in affordability was driven by a 20.1 percent annual increase in nominal house prices and a 2.3 percentage point increase in the 30-year, fixed-mortgage rate ... Read More

Interest Rates Real House Price Index Affordability

How the Fundamentals Influencing Housing Market Potential Have Changed

By Mark Fleming on July 20, 2022
The market potential for existing-home sales in June was estimated to be 5.47 million at a seasonally adjusted annualized rate (SAAR), down 2.5 percent compared to last month, and 13.1 percent lower than one year ago, which is near the same level as in early 2019. Read More

Interest Rates Potential Home Sales tenure

Millennials Continued to Drive Homeownership Demand in 2021

By Odeta Kushi on July 6, 2022
In 2022, National Homeownership Month arrived in June as the housing market adjusts to higher mortgage rates amid still strong nominal house price appreciation, which have resulted in a significant decline in house-buying power. The housing boom of 2020 and 2021 was the exception, not the rule. Record-low mortgage rates, the ability to work from ... Read More

Housing Millennials Homeownership Progress Index Homeownership