Housing Market Trends

From the First American Economic Center

The First American Economic Center has you covered with in-depth analysis and expert insights on the latest data and trends in the industry.

Interview on CNBC: Discussing the New Normal for the Housing Market

By FirstAm Editor on November 23, 2018
First American Chief Economist Mark Fleming was interviewed on CNBC earlier this week and discussed the current dynamics at play in the housing market where rising mortgage rates have impacted both supply and demand. Read More

Housing In The News Interest Rates Millennials Affordability

Why the Housing Market Can Thrive at 5 Percent Mortgage Rates

By Mark Fleming on November 12, 2018
Last week, the 30-year, fixed mortgage rate hit a seven-and-a-half-year high of 4.86 percent. Most experts believe mortgage rates will continue to rise, reaching 5 percent in 2019. Read More

Interest Rates Federal Reserve Affordability

How Wage Growth Reduced the Sting of Rising Rates on Affordability

By Mark Fleming on October 29, 2018
Understanding the dynamics that influence consumer house-buying power, how much home one can buy based on changes in income and interest rates, provides helpful perspective on the housing market. When incomes rise, consumer house-buying power increases. When mortgage rates or nominal house prices rise, consumer house-buying power declines. Our ... Read More

Interest Rates Real House Price Index Affordability

Why ARMs Today are Different

By Odeta Kushi on October 10, 2018
Adjustable-rate mortgages (ARMs), a symbol of the housing market crash, are making a comeback, but their resurgence is not an indicator of a potential negative turn in the housing market. An ARM is a mortgage that typically has a 30-year repayment term, but the interest rate is fixed for the first few years of the loan. Once the fixed period ends, ... Read More

Interest Rates Real House Price Index Affordability

Interview on CNBC: Discussing the impact of rising rates on affordability and home-buying demand

By FirstAm Editor on October 5, 2018
First American Chief Economist Mark Fleming was interviewed on CNBC yesterday and discussed the impact of rising interest rates on affordability and home-buying demand. Read More

Housing In The News Interest Rates Millennials Affordability

How Will Rising Mortgage Rates Impact Housing Affordability in 2019?

By Mark Fleming on September 24, 2018
The Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting is just around the corner and a rate hike is almost certain, according to experts, which will trigger conversations about rising mortgage rates across the housing industry. While changes to the federal funds rate won’t necessarily spur further increases in mortgage rates, mortgage rates are expected ... Read More

Interest Rates Real House Price Index Affordability