Recent Posts by Mark Fleming

Mark Fleming is the chief economist for First American Financial Corporation and leads First American’s Decision Sciences team.
How Lower Mortgage Rates Helped Reduce Defect Risk for the First Time in Eight Months
By
Mark Fleming on May 31, 2019
The frequency of defects, fraudulence and misrepresentation in the information submitted in mortgage loan applications declined 4.2 percent compared to last month. Notably, this marks the first month-over-month decline since July 2018, thanks to lower mortgage rates. Decreasing mortgage rates contributed to an increase in inventory, reducing the ...
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Why Did Affordability Improve for the First Time Since 2016?
By
Mark Fleming on May 28, 2019
What began as a modest shift toward a buyers’ market in six cities last month has expanded into a national shift in affordability. The shift is a departure from the long-term trend in the Real House Price Index (RHPI), which had been steadily increasing throughout the rising mortgage rate environment that began in 2017 and continued until late ...
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Why Did Housing Market Potential Improve in April?
By
Mark Fleming on May 20, 2019
The housing market continued to underperform its potential in April 2019, but the performance gap shrank compared with March. Actual existing-home sales remain 1.3 percent below the market’s potential, but the performance gap narrowed from 2.0 percent last month, according to our Potential Home Sales model. That means the housing market has the ...
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Interest Rates Federal Reserve Homeownership Potential Home Sales
The Two Competing Forces Impacting Fraud Risk
By
Mark Fleming on April 30, 2019
Loan application defect risk for purchase transactions continued its upward trend in March, increasing 1.0 percent month-over-month, according to the Loan Application Defect Index. Defect risk for purchase transactions has risen for seven consecutive months, however, the pace of growth slowed to its lowest point over that time span. Overall, the ...
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Six Cities Leading Shift Toward A Buyers' Market
By
Mark Fleming on April 29, 2019
Throughout 2018, consistent growth among three driving forces – mortgage rates, household income and unadjusted house prices – defined the housing market. These three factors are also the core elements of the Real House Price Index (RHPI). While household income rose steadily in 2018, rising mortgage rates offset any affordability benefit for home ...
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Two Trends Boost Home-Buyer Demand As Spring Home-Buying Season Begins
By
Mark Fleming on April 18, 2019
While the housing market continued to underperform its potential in March 2019, the green shoots of spring home buying have emerged. Actual existing-home sales are 2.3 percent below the market’s potential, narrowing the gap from last month, according to our Potential Home Sales model. That means the housing market has the potential to support ...
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Interest Rates Federal Reserve Homeownership Potential Home Sales