How Will a Potential September Rate Hike Impact Existing-Home Sales?

By Mark Fleming on September 18, 2018
In August, the housing market continued to underperform its potential. Actual existing-home sales are 6.5 percent below the market’s potential, according to our Potential Home Sales model. That means the market has the potential to support more than 400,000 more home sales at a seasonally adjusted annualized rate (SAAR). Severe supply shortages ... Read More

Does Rising Housing Inventory Signal the Beginning of a Buyer’s Market?

By Mark Fleming on September 17, 2018
Last month, we noted in our latest Real House Price Index (RHPI) report that house price appreciation may be slowing. According to our RHPI, 21 cities experienced a monthly decline in their real, consumer house-buying power-adjusted price level. One reason for the price appreciation slowdown is that 21 of the 50 largest cities in the U.S. ... Read More

Interest Rates Mortgages Real House Price Index Affordability Housing supply

Why Education is the Best Investment for Homeownership

By Mark Fleming on September 7, 2018
Whether students are beginning middle school or their last year of college, back-to-school season is here. Although many students may grimace when they hear “back to school,” they won’t regret pursuing a higher education as adults as they compete for well-paying jobs and one day, hopefully, buy a home. Read More

Housing Income Homeownership

Impact of FinTech Investment Felt in Nearly All Markets

By Mark Fleming on August 31, 2018
The Loan Application Defect Index for purchase transactions continued its downward trend, declining 1.3 percent in July compared with the month before, the seventh consecutive month defect risk in purchase transactions have fallen. Yet, is declining loan application misrepresentation, defect and fraud risk isolated to a few markets or is the trend ... Read More

Fraud Loan Application Defect Index

Has House Price Appreciation Reached a Tipping Point?

By Mark Fleming on August 27, 2018
House price appreciation remains on a tear, as unadjusted home prices nationwide increased by 7.3 percent compared with a year ago and are now 1.3 percent above the housing boom peak in 2006, according to DataTree by First American. The U.S. economy continues to perform well, as the current economic expansion reaches record levels, prompting some ... Read More

Real House Price Index Affordability

Interviews on CNBC: Discussing rising mortgage rates, house price appreciation, millennial demand and lack of new home construction

By FirstAm Editor on August 24, 2018
First American Chief Economist Mark Fleming was interviewed on CNBC earlier today as well as last Friday, August 17 and discussed how rising mortgage rates, house price appreciation, millennial demand and a lack of new homes may be squeezing affordability. Read More

New Home Buying In The News Interest Rates Millennials Affordability housing starts