Housing Market Trends

From the First American Economic Center

The First American Economic Center has you covered with in-depth analysis and expert insights on the latest data and trends in the industry.

Recent Posts by Mark Fleming

Mark Fleming is the chief economist for First American Financial Corporation and leads First American’s Decision Sciences team.

Will Fintech Adoption Among Real Estate Professionals Accelerate in 2019?

By Mark Fleming on November 27, 2018
Throughout 2018, we’ve seen many trends that set the groundwork for the acceleration of financial technology (fintech) adoption. It has been a strong seller’s market across the top U.S. metropolitan areas. With inventory low and house prices at historic highs, prospective home buyers felt pressured to settle deals quickly before opportunities fade ... Read More

Housing Interest Rates Real Estate Sentiment Index

Why is Real House Price Appreciation Accelerating?

By Mark Fleming on November 26, 2018
In September, all three of the key drivers of the Real House Price Index (RHPI), household income, mortgage rates, and an unadjusted house price index, increased compared with a year ago. When household income rises, consumer house-buying power increases. When mortgage rates and house prices increase, consumer house-buying power decreases. The ... Read More

Interest Rates Real House Price Index Affordability

Can Homebuilders Increase Productivity to Help Close Gap Between Housing Supply and Demand?

By Mark Fleming on November 21, 2018
Yesterday’s Census Bureau report for October indicated that we are falling short of adding homes to the market in the short-term, as completions decreased 6.5 percent compared with October of last year. Read More

Housing Housing Starts Homeownership

Do Rising Rates Outweigh the Impact of the Strong Economy on Housing Market Potential?

By Mark Fleming on November 19, 2018
While the housing market continues to underperform its potential by 6.5 percent, the gap between actual existing home sales and the market potential for home sales narrowed by 1 percent in October compared with September, according to our Potential Homes Sales model. The housing market has the potential to support more than 391,000 additional home ... Read More

Interest Rates Federal Reserve Homeownership Potential Home Sales

Why the Housing Market Can Thrive at 5 Percent Mortgage Rates

By Mark Fleming on November 12, 2018
Last week, the 30-year, fixed mortgage rate hit a seven-and-a-half-year high of 4.86 percent. Most experts believe mortgage rates will continue to rise, reaching 5 percent in 2019. Read More

Interest Rates Federal Reserve Affordability

How Wage Growth Reduced the Sting of Rising Rates on Affordability

By Mark Fleming on October 29, 2018
Understanding the dynamics that influence consumer house-buying power, how much home one can buy based on changes in income and interest rates, provides helpful perspective on the housing market. When incomes rise, consumer house-buying power increases. When mortgage rates or nominal house prices rise, consumer house-buying power declines. Our ... Read More

Interest Rates Real House Price Index Affordability