Will Rising Mortgage Rates Hurt House prices?

By Mark Fleming on March 26, 2018
As expected, the Federal Open Market Committee increased the Federal Funds rate last week, and signaled they expect to increase rates further later this year. It’s clear we have entered the rising interest rate environment that many have been predicting for years. With rising rates the new reality for the housing market, earlier this month we ... Read More

Housing Interest Rates Real House Price Index

How High is Too High for Mortgage Rates?

By Mark Fleming on March 20, 2018
The Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting is just around the corner, and experts agree that an increase in the Federal Funds Rate is almost certain. In fact, the expectation of future Fed rate hikes is already putting upward pressure on mortgage rates. The benchmark 30-year, fixed-rate mortgage rate jumped three basis points to 4.4 percent ... Read More

Housing Interest Rates

What Does Faster Inflation and Rising Mortgage Rates Mean for Housing?

By Mark Fleming on March 9, 2018
As the March Federal Reserve (Fed) meeting approaches, overall positive economic conditions are troubling those who follow the Fed closely. Many might pose the question, why would positive economic conditions be troubling? Read More

Housing Interest Rates Federal Reserve Affordability

How Will Rising Rates Impact Home Sales?

By Mark Fleming on February 20, 2018
This month, the market potential for existing-home sales increased to a 6.1 million seasonally adjusted annualized rate (SAAR), a 0.4 percent month-over-month increase, and a gain of 210,000 (SAAR) sales from January 2017. The gap between actual market performance (existing-home sales) and market potential (potential home sales) has significantly ... Read More

Housing Interest Rates

Where is house-buying power the strongest?

By Mark Fleming on February 14, 2018
Whether you plan to buy a modest studio or a four-bedroom penthouse, how much you can afford to borrow primarily rests on two main factors: income and interest rates. Income growth seems to be increasing, thus increasing affordability. However, the near certainty of future rate hikes will likely be a drag on affordability. Read More

Housing Interest Rates Federal Reserve Affordability

Housing Market Potential Little Changed, But Will the Supply Shortage Continue in 2018?

By Mark Fleming on January 23, 2018
First American’s proprietary Potential Home Sales model examines December 2017 data and includes analysis from First American Chief Economist Mark Fleming on how the real estate market is performing versus its potential. Read More

Housing Interest Rates