The Surprising Impact of Rising Rates on Market Potential
By
Mark Fleming on May 23, 2018
In April, the housing market continued to underperform its potential. Existing-home sales were 6.5 percent below the market’s potential for existing-home sales, according to our Potential Home Sales Model. Lack of supply remains the primary culprit. The inventory of homes for sale in most markets remains historically low, yet demand continues to ...
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Interview on CNBC: Explaining the Link Between Rising Rates, Housing Supply and Affordability
By
FirstAm Editor on May 18, 2018
First American Chief Economist Mark Fleming was interviewed yesterday on CNBC and explained the link between rising rates, housing supply and affordability.
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Housing In The News Interest Rates Millennials Affordability
What Does the Change in the 10-Year Treasury Note Mean for Housing Affordability
By
Mark Fleming on May 7, 2018
At the May Federal Reserve (Fed) meeting last week, all eyes were on the 10-year Treasury yield. In late April, that yield topped 3 percent for the first time in more than four years. With yields on the rise, housing market participants expect this to mean higher interest rates from central banks. It’s often overlooked that the popular 30-year, ...
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Housing Interest Rates Real House Price Index Federal Reserve Affordability
What Drives Loan Application Defect Risk at the Local Level?
By
Mark Fleming on April 27, 2018
A common adage about real estate is that it’s local. The dynamics of one housing market can be very different from another depending on the local economy and access to natural amenities, like mountains or water. The levels of loan application defect, fraud and misrepresentation risk vary greatly based on local conditions as well. In fact, ...
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The Market Dynamics Fueling the Great Housing Shortage
By
Mark Fleming on April 20, 2018
In March, the housing market continued to underperform its potential. Actual existing home sales are 4.5 percent below the market potential for home sales, according to our Potential Home Sales model. The lack of supply is the primary culprit. The inventory of homes for sale in most markets remains historically tight, yet demand continues to rise ...
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Will the Return of ARMs Lead to Surging Loan App Defect Risk?
By
Mark Fleming on March 29, 2018
It’s been a long time coming – a rising rate environment. The 30-year, fixed-rate mortgage has been below 4.5 percent since late 2013 and is now finally moving consistently higher. According to the consensus of economic forecasts, it is likely to approach 5 percent by the end of this year. This matters for defect, fraud and misrepresentation risk ...
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