Two Months of Progress for Existing-Home Sales
By
Odeta Kushi on September 16, 2024
Key Points: Existing-home sales for August are expected to increase 0.5 percent from July’s pace of sales. If realized, this would mark two consecutive monthly increases. While house-buying power is nearly 4 percent greater than last month, and 10 percent above a year ago, it remains 7 percent below the two-year, pre-pandemic average. Even if ...
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Did Falling Mortgage Rates Prevent a Housing Recession?
By
Odeta Kushi on September 12, 2024
Key Points: In May and June, four of the eight indicators in our model flashed housing recession. While July data is still trickling in, it’s looking like we may narrowly avoid a housing recession. The relationship between housing and economic recessions is complicated and, contrary to what many believe, housing does not always lead economic ...
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Affordability Improves for Second Straight Month, but Home Buyers Shrug
By
Mark Fleming on August 26, 2024
Key Points: In July, affordability improved annually in 12 markets for the first time since 2021. Despite the improvement in affordability, the only 17 percent of consumers indicated that it’s a good time to buy a home, down from 19 percent in June, according to the Fannie Mae Home Purchase Sentiment Index (HPSI). Affordability nationally remains ...
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Mortgage Rate Relief Brings Much-Needed Optimism to the Housing Market
By
Odeta Kushi on August 20, 2024
Housing market sales activity in 2024 has closely followed the path of mortgage rates, and we expect that to remain true with July’s existing-home sales data that will publish on July 22. Each month, we use our Existing-Home Sales Outlook Report to ‘nowcast’ existing-home sales based on the historical relationship between sales, demographic ...
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House Price Appreciation Flips the Rent-Versus-Own Dynamic in Favor of Owning in 27 markets
By
Odeta Kushi on August 16, 2024
Since real estate is local, whether it makes more financial sense to continue renting or to buy depends on where one lives. However, typical rent-versus-own calculations fail to include the main financial benefit of owning, which is the accumulation of equity. While rare, house price declines can make it more costly to own a home, but after ...
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Housing Supply Surge Improves Affordability in Some Markets
By
Mark Fleming on July 29, 2024
Nationally, affordability improved modestly on a monthly basis in June, driven by slightly lower mortgage rates and positive income growth. However, on an annual basis, affordability nationally remains approximately 4 percent lower than one year ago. Two factors drove the annualized drop in affordability – a 5.6 percent annual increase in nominal ...
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