Key Points: Upwardly revised economic data, strong employment numbers, and the election have lowered bond market expectations for future rate cuts relative to the Fed’s projections, pushing up mortgage rates. Holding income constant, house-buying power decreased by more than $10,000 in October due to the 25-basis point increase in mortgage rates. ...
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Key Points: Existing-home sales as a percentage of total households are historically low, at just 2.9 percent. By contrast, the pre-pandemic average was 4.4 percent. Only 94 of every 10,000 existing homes are for sale, lower than the pre-pandemic historical average of 220 of every 10,000 homes. Given the current number of households in the U.S. ...
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Key Points: Existing-home sales for August are expected to increase 0.5 percent from July’s pace of sales. If realized, this would mark two consecutive monthly increases. While house-buying power is nearly 4 percent greater than last month, and 10 percent above a year ago, it remains 7 percent below the two-year, pre-pandemic average. Even if ...
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Housing market sales activity in 2024 has closely followed the path of mortgage rates, and we expect that to remain true with July’s existing-home sales data that will publish on July 22. Each month, we use our Existing-Home Sales Outlook Report to ‘nowcast’ existing-home sales based on the historical relationship between sales, demographic ...
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Even with more existing-home inventory on the market than last year, today’s potential home buyers face one of the least affordable markets in history due to record-high and still-rising home prices and elevated mortgage rates. Each month, we use our Existing-Home Sales Outlook Report to ‘nowcast’ existing-home sales based on the historical ...
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The housing market is struggling to gain momentum with mortgage rates above their levels from a year ago. Higher rates have a dual impact on sales – pricing out buyers who lose purchasing power and keeping some potential sellers rate-locked in. Our Existing-Home Sales Outlook Report ‘nowcasts’ existing-home sales based on the historical ...
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