Key Points: National sales remain weak despite rising inventory, highlighting the importance of distinguishing between active listings and new listings. Across the top 75 markets, sales are strongly correlated with the flow of new listings. The outlook for new listings growth—and thus sales—will hinge on the tension between the mortgage rate ...
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Key Points: Affordability depends heavily on location. Regional differences in prices, taxes, and utility costs lead to wide disparities in how much of one’s income is spent on housing. High home prices—particularly in Western markets—drive up mortgage and tax costs, leading to some of the highest cost burden rates in the country. High income ...
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Key Points: Affordability is likely to improve by year end, but will remain historically constrained. Higher inventory levels in Southern and Western markets will put more downward pressure on prices, moving these markets towards more buyer-friendly conditions. Existing-home sales will be driven by “life happens” events, but will remain limited by ...
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Key Points: Preliminary data from June and July indicate that affordability on an annual basis has improved for six consecutive months. Despite slowing price growth nationally, national house prices are unlikely to experience a significant and sustained decline. Tighter lending standards, stronger credit quality, significant equity cushions and a ...
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Key Points: Existing-home sales are hovering just above 4 million annualized sales, far below pre-pandemic levels. Housing contributes to GDP via new construction and ongoing housing services, totaling 16 percent of GDP last quarter. Fewer home sales curbs spending on everything from sofas to remodeling services, acting as a drag on broader ...
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Key Points: Annual affordability improved in 43 of the top 50 U.S. markets in April. 11 markets posted both above-average supply and above-average affordability improvement. Miami leads in supply (7.2 months), while Hartford remains the tightest market (1.7 months). Affordability nationally improved 4.4 percent annually in April, as mortgage rates ...
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