Recent Posts by Mark Fleming

Mark Fleming is the chief economist for First American Financial Corporation and leads First American’s Decision Sciences team.

Will Rising Mortgage Rates Hurt House prices?

By Mark Fleming on March 26, 2018
As expected, the Federal Open Market Committee increased the Federal Funds rate last week, and signaled they expect to increase rates further later this year. It’s clear we have entered the rising interest rate environment that many have been predicting for years. With rising rates the new reality for the housing market, earlier this month we ... Read More

Housing Interest Rates Real House Price Index

How High is Too High for Mortgage Rates?

By Mark Fleming on March 20, 2018
The Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting is just around the corner, and experts agree that an increase in the Federal Funds Rate is almost certain. In fact, the expectation of future Fed rate hikes is already putting upward pressure on mortgage rates. The benchmark 30-year, fixed-rate mortgage rate jumped three basis points to 4.4 percent ... Read More

Housing Interest Rates

Coming Soon: More Housing Supply?

By Mark Fleming on March 17, 2018
While housing starts are down compared to a year ago, today’s Census Bureau report for February sends a positive message to the housing market. Read More

Will the Tax Code Changes Influence House Prices or Market Supply and Demand?

By Mark Fleming on March 13, 2018
The impact of the new tax code on the housing market has been heavily studied and debated in academic, policy and political circles, with most agreeing that the changes remove any significant tax differences between homeowners and renters for the majority of U.S. households. But, what do the people handling real estate transactions every day think? Read More

Real Estate Sentiment Index Affordability

What Does Faster Inflation and Rising Mortgage Rates Mean for Housing?

By Mark Fleming on March 9, 2018
As the March Federal Reserve (Fed) meeting approaches, overall positive economic conditions are troubling those who follow the Fed closely. Many might pose the question, why would positive economic conditions be troubling? Read More

Housing Interest Rates Federal Reserve Affordability

Does High Rise = High Risk?

By Mark Fleming on February 28, 2018
First American’s proprietary Loan Application Defect Index examines January 2018 data on the frequency of defects, fraudulence and misrepresentation in the information submitted in mortgage loan applications. Read More

Loan Application Defect Index