A new, albeit not particularly comforting refrain has become popular in the commercial real estate (CRE) world -- stay alive until 2025. Many are hoping that by 2025 inflation will be demonstrably tamed and the Federal Reserve will have lowered interest rates. But getting to 2025, as the catchphrase suggests, means that 2024 will be a year of ...

The recent rise in long-term interest rates suppresses commercial real estate (CRE) transaction volume in two primary ways. First, higher long-term interest rates typically lead to higher CRE mortgage rates, which make CRE deals less profitable. Lower prospective returns on CRE deals incentivize buyers to wait on the sidelines until prices fall ...

The primary driver of suppressed transaction volume in today’s commercial real estate (CRE) market is the gap in price expectations between prospective buyers and sellers. Falling prices and rising cap rates make buyers hesitant to jump into the market, since a better deal might be waiting in the near future. On the other side of the table, owners ...

The state of today’s industrial commercial real estate (CRE) can largely be explained as the result of pandemic-related aftershocks. During the pandemic, e-commerce sales soared as millions of stuck-at-home consumers turned to online retailers to purchase goods. Meanwhile, COVID-19 disrupted global supply chains, which made it more difficult for ...

As pandemic-era restrictions and precautions eased, consumers began to spend the money that they had saved during the early parts of the pandemic. The resulting surge in consumer spending contributed, at least in part, to the runaway inflation that eventually triggered the Federal Reserve to hike interest rates at the fastest pace in decades. ...

In mid-September, coverage of the Census Bureaus’ latest monthly retail sales release focused on how the 2.5 percent year-over-year increase in retail sales in August was a sign of ongoing consumer strength. But the retail sales report is not inflation adjusted, it is expressed in nominal terms. This nominal 2.5 percent growth, therefore, excludes ...

With interest rates high, transaction volumes low, and property prices generally on the decline, it’s safe to say that the commercial real estate (CRE) market is undergoing an adjustment period. The market adjustment has triggered a process referred to as “price discovery,” in which many buyers are sitting on the sidelines waiting for lower entry ...

With interest rates well above recent lows and commercial property prices declining, commercial real estate (CRE) credit remains tight. How tight, exactly, is one of the questions that the Federal Reserve’s Senior Loan Officer Opinion Survey (SLOOS) attempts to answer.

As rent growth has softened across all asset classes, property owners and operators have increased their focus on limiting expense growth. However, this has proven difficult for some line items, as both property insurance, and repairs and maintenance (R&M) expenses have increased significantly over the last three years. In this edition of the ...

Multifamily capitalization (cap) rates have now increased for three consecutive quarters, the first time since the Great Financial Crisis. This is a sign that investors are requiring higher yields today in order to purchase a property.