CRE X-Factor – Lower Prospective CRE Returns Contribute to Depressed Transaction Volume

By Xander Snyder on November 13, 2023

The recent rise in long-term interest rates suppresses commercial real estate (CRE) transaction volume in two primary ways. First, higher long-term interest rates typically lead to higher CRE mortgage rates, which make CRE deals less profitable. Lower prospective returns on CRE deals incentivize buyers to wait on the sidelines until prices fall ...

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Commercial Real Estate Interest Rates CRE X-Factor

CRE X-Factor - Consumers Face Headwinds Heading into 2024

By Xander Snyder on October 13, 2023

As pandemic-era restrictions and precautions eased, consumers began to spend the money that they had saved during the early parts of the pandemic. The resulting surge in consumer spending contributed, at least in part, to the runaway inflation that eventually triggered the Federal Reserve to hike interest rates at the fastest pace in decades. ...

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Commercial Real Estate CRE X-Factor

CRE X-Factor – The End of the Beginning for the CRE Adjustment?

By Xander Snyder on September 15, 2023

With interest rates high, transaction volumes low, and property prices generally on the decline, it’s safe to say that the commercial real estate (CRE) market is undergoing an adjustment period. The market adjustment has triggered a process referred to as “price discovery,” in which many buyers are sitting on the sidelines waiting for lower entry ...

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Commercial Real Estate CRE X-Factor

CRE X-Factor – Why Operating Costs for Commercial Properties have Soared

By Xander Snyder on August 10, 2023

As rent growth has softened across all asset classes, property owners and operators have increased their focus on limiting expense growth. However, this has proven difficult for some line items, as both property insurance, and repairs and maintenance (R&M) expenses have increased significantly over the last three years. In this edition of the ...

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Commercial Real Estate CRE X-Factor

CRE X-Factor – Assessing the State of the CRE Reset

By Xander Snyder on July 12, 2023

The commercial real estate (CRE) market is in a reset. Deal activity is down, and property prices are declining. We recently examined what clues history can provide about the potential length and depth of CRE price declines. Today, let’s examine what current CRE fundamentals can tell us about where we are in the process of resetting.

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Commercial Real Estate CRE X-Factor

CRE X-Factor: For Commercial Real Estate, Banks Aren’t the Only Lender in Town

By Xander Snyder on May 9, 2023

When most people think of a loan, they think of a bank. Banks take deposits from customers in return for interest payments or other services. The bank then invests those deposits in loans, such as commercial real estate (CRE) loans, and securities that pay a higher interest rate than the bank is paying on the deposits. However, a bank is not the ...

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Commercial Real Estate CRE X-Factor

CRE X-Factor: Analyzing the Commercial Real Estate Market Slowdown

By Xander Snyder on February 15, 2023

Several indicators now point firmly to a broad cooling in commercial real estate (CRE) markets. The extent of the cooling, however, varies meaningfully by asset class and geography.

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Commercial Real Estate CRE X-Factor

CRE X-Factor: Where is Commercial Real Estate Deal Activity Heading in 2023?

By Xander Snyder on December 16, 2022

Several commercial real estate (CRE) fundamentals continued to soften in October. It was the second consecutive month where prices for multifamily, retail, and central business district (CBD) office sectors all declined on a month-over-month basis, though prices remain higher for all asset classes compared to October 2021.

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Commercial Real Estate Interest Rates CRE X-Factor

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