Why the Big Short in Housing Supply Will Remain in 2021
By
Mark Fleming on December 3, 2020
As the housing market has recovered from the initial impacts of the pandemic, nominal house price appreciation has soared, but affordability actually improved until recently due to the house-buying power benefit from historically low mortgage rates. However, for the second month in a row, the Real House Price Index (RHPI) increased, indicating ...
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Interest Rates Real House Price Index Affordability Housing supply
The Five Cities Where Affordability Declined the Most
By
Mark Fleming on November 23, 2020
Affordability declined month over month in September for the second month in a row, even as two of the three key drivers of the Real House Price Index (RHPI), household income and mortgage rates, swung in favor of increased affordability. The 30-year, fixed-rate mortgage fell by 0.05 percentage points and household income increased 0.2 percent ...
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What Does the Housing Market’s Historic Pandemic Rebound Mean for 2021?
By
Mark Fleming on November 18, 2020
The housing market’s historic rebound since bottoming in the spring has been nothing short of amazing. After falling to a near-decade low in May, existing-home sales hit a 14-year high in September. In October, our measure of market potential for existing-home sales increased 9.0 percent compared with one year ago to a 5.98 million seasonally ...
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Interview with Yahoo! Finance: Explaining the Housing Market’s Resilience in the COVID-19 Era
By
FirstAm Editor on November 9, 2020
First American Deputy Chief Economist Odeta Kushi was interviewed on Yahoo! Finance earlier this month, discussing why the housing market is better positioned in this recession than it was heading into the Great Recession, and how low rates and millennials are driving demand.
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Has the Affordability Boost From Falling Mortgage Rates Run its Course?
By
Mark Fleming on October 27, 2020
Throughout 2020, falling mortgage rates have been the strongest influence on housing affordability trends, even helping fuel the housing market’s impressive recovery and resilience to the continuing economic fallout from the coronavirus pandemic. Mortgage rates began declining in January 2020 and even dropped below 3 percent for the first time ...
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Why Housing Market Potential Remains at 13-Year High Point
By
Mark Fleming on October 16, 2020
The housing market’s impressive “V-shaped” recovery has thus far shown significant resilience to the economic impacts of the coronavirus pandemic. Demographically driven millennial demand has continued unabated, low rates have fueled house-buying power, and historically low inventory has increased competition, leading to rising prices.
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