Economic Center Blog
Welcome to the First American Economic Center Blog, a top source for the latest housing market research and analysis driven by Chief Economist Mark Fleming.

Interviews On NPR And Forbes.com: Discussing Millennial Homeownership And The 2019 Spring Home Buying Season

By FirstAm Editor on February 6, 2019

First American Deputy Chief Economist Odeta Kushi provided perspective on millennial homeownership in an interview with National Public Radio and Chief Economist Mark Fleming’s expectations for the spring home buying season were featured in a Forbes.com article earlier this month.

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Topics: Housing, In The News, Interest Rates, Millennials, Affordability

Will Loan Application Defect Risk Stabilize In 2019?

By Mark Fleming on January 30, 2019

In December 2018, the Loan Application Defect Index for purchase transactions continued its string of month-over-month increases, rising for the fourth month in a row. Despite the upswing, the Defect Index for purchase transactions still remains 1.1 percent below its level in December 2017. The Defect Index for refinance transactions also...

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Topics: Fraud, Loan Application Defect Index

Where Is The Housing Market Cooling The Most?

By Mark Fleming on January 28, 2019

Throughout 2018, consistent growth among three driving forces – mortgage rates, household income, and unadjusted house prices – defined the housing market. These three factors are also the core metrics that comprise the Real House Price Index (RHPI). November 2018 was no exception, as household income, mortgage rates, and the unadjusted house...

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Topics: Interest Rates, Real House Price Index, Affordability, Insider

Can Stock Market Volatility Help Home Buyers?

By Mark Fleming on January 21, 2019

In December, the market potential for existing-home sales in December increased 1.1 percent to a seasonally adjusted annualized rate of 6.15 million compared with a year ago, but the housing market still underperformed its potential by 9.6 percent, according to our Potential Homes Sales Model. Month over month, the gap between actual...

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Topics: Interest Rates, Federal Reserve, Insider, homeownership, Potential Home Sales

Interviews On CNBC And Yahoo! Finance: Discussing The 2019 Mortgage Rate Outlook, Millennials and Student Debt, And Baby Boomers And Limited Housing Supply

By FirstAm Editor on January 18, 2019

First American Chief Economist Mark Fleming was interviewed on both CNBC and Yahoo! Finance earlier this week and discussed the outlook for mortgage rates in 2019, the impact of student debt on millennial first-time home buyers and how baby boomers aging in place is limiting housing supply.

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Topics: Housing, In The News, Interest Rates, Millennials, Affordability, Baby Boomers

Blame The Homebodies: Why Are Homeowners Staying In Their Homes So Long?

By Mark Fleming on January 11, 2019

It’s been over six years since house prices hit their trough and the housing market bottomed out. Since then, house prices have recovered nationally and reached historic highs. The price recovery has most recently been driven by a supply shortage. The availability of homes for sale is running near historic lows because single-family housing...

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Topics: Housing, Insider, homeownership, Potential Home Sales

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