Did Falling Mortgage Rates Prevent a Housing Recession?

By Odeta Kushi on September 12, 2024
Key Points: In May and June, four of the eight indicators in our model flashed housing recession. While July data is still trickling in, it’s looking like we may narrowly avoid a housing recession. The relationship between housing and economic recessions is complicated and, contrary to what many believe, housing does not always lead economic ... Read More

Affordable housing Housing Mortgage Rates

House Price Appreciation Flips the Rent-Versus-Own Dynamic in Favor of Owning in 27 markets

By Odeta Kushi on August 16, 2024
Since real estate is local, whether it makes more financial sense to continue renting or to buy depends on where one lives. However, typical rent-versus-own calculations fail to include the main financial benefit of owning, which is the accumulation of equity. While rare, house price declines can make it more costly to own a home, but after ... Read More

Affordable housing Housing Renter Affordability

The Silver Lining for Cities with the Most Homeowner Distress

By Odeta Kushi on September 3, 2020
Based on our analysis last month, a wave of foreclosures similar to levels seen during the Great Recession is unlikely to occur despite the continuing economic hardship caused by the COVID-19 pandemic. Homeowners are in a much better position to weather this crisis, in part because household equity is near a three-decade high, negating one of the ... Read More

Affordable housing Homeownership

Pandemic Unlikely to Slow Looming Wave of Millennial Marriages and Corresponding Increase in Potential Homeownership Demand in the Long Run

By Odeta Kushi on July 15, 2020
Millennials are already the most educated generational cohort in U.S. history, which bodes well for future homeownership demand. But they are also aging into key lifestyle decisions, like marriage and having children, associated with a greater likelihood of purchasing a home. According to our analysis of anonymized household data, millennials ... Read More

Affordable housing Millennials Homeownership Progress Index Homeownership