Recent Posts by Mark Fleming

Mark Fleming is the chief economist for First American Financial Corporation and leads First American’s Decision Sciences team.

Why the Pandemic Has Worsened the Housing Supply Shortage

By Mark Fleming on May 20, 2020
The coronavirus pandemic continued its historic assault on the domestic and global economy in April, and the housing market did not go unscathed. Typically, the hot spring home-buying season would be in full swing in April, but pandemic-related impacts, including shelter-in-place orders, the rapid surge in unemployment, and declining consumer ... Read More

Interest Rates Potential Home Sales tenure

Has House Price Appreciation Reached a Tipping Point?

By Mark Fleming on April 27, 2020
As the coronavirus outbreak continues to affect the domestic and global economy, the housing market has shown that it is not immune to its impact. In March, the number of existing-home sales fell 8.5 percent relative to February, and the number of new listings continued to dwindle. While mortgage rates have fallen due to the current economic ... Read More

Interest Rates Real House Price Index Affordability

The Impact of the Credit Crunch on Housing Market Potential

By Mark Fleming on April 17, 2020
The coronavirus pandemic continues to take hold of the domestic and global economy. The housing market, although in a better position than it was at the onset of the last recession, will not be immune to the impact. Weekly unemployment claims have soared to record highs, which has already contributed to declining consumer confidence. Read More

Interest Rates Potential Home Sales tenure

Why the Housing Market May Weather Coronavirus Impact Better Than the Great Recession

By Mark Fleming on March 31, 2020
As we are all too aware, the coronavirus outbreak has taken hold of the domestic and global economy. The housing market is not immune to its impact but may be in a better position than many believe. Recent data shows that weekly unemployment claims soared to a record, which will, in turn, work to depress household incomes and consumer confidence. ... Read More

Interest Rates Real House Price Index Affordability

Policy and Fintech Innovations Protect Against Fraud Risk in the Uncertain Days Ahead

By Mark Fleming on March 30, 2020
A historical view of overall defect risk, as measured by our Loan Application Defect Index, shows a long-run downward trend since we began tracking defect risk in 2011, with a few exceptions. In February 2020, this long-run trend continued as overall defect risk reached its lowest level in index history. The Defect Index for purchase transactions ... Read More

Fraud Loan Application Defect Index

Mini Refinance Boom Drives Fraud Risk to New Low

By Mark Fleming on February 28, 2020
Overall defect risk, as measured by our Loan Application Defect Index, has largely trended down since early 2019 with a few exceptions. In January 2020, this long-run trend continued as overall defect risk reached its lowest level since we began tracking it in 2011. While the Defect Index for purchase transactions remained the same after two ... Read More

Fraud Loan Application Defect Index