Housing Market Trends

From the First American Economic Center

The First American Economic Center has you covered with in-depth analysis and expert insights on the latest data and trends in the industry.

Will the Tax Code Changes Influence House Prices or Market Supply and Demand?

By Mark Fleming on March 13, 2018
The impact of the new tax code on the housing market has been heavily studied and debated in academic, policy and political circles, with most agreeing that the changes remove any significant tax differences between homeowners and renters for the majority of U.S. households. But, what do the people handling real estate transactions every day think? Read More

Real Estate Sentiment Index Affordability

What Does Faster Inflation and Rising Mortgage Rates Mean for Housing?

By Mark Fleming on March 9, 2018
As the March Federal Reserve (Fed) meeting approaches, overall positive economic conditions are troubling those who follow the Fed closely. Many might pose the question, why would positive economic conditions be troubling? Read More

Housing Interest Rates Federal Reserve Affordability

How Wage Growth Both Helps and Hurts Housing Affordability

By Mark Fleming on February 26, 2018
Earlier this month, the Bureau of Labor Statistics reported that average hourly earnings increased in January by 2.9 percent compared with a year ago. This was a big splash of economic news that had ripple effects on the housing market, as the 2.9 percent increase in wages surpassed expectations. Read More

Real House Price Index Affordability

Where is house-buying power the strongest?

By Mark Fleming on February 14, 2018
Whether you plan to buy a modest studio or a four-bedroom penthouse, how much you can afford to borrow primarily rests on two main factors: income and interest rates. Income growth seems to be increasing, thus increasing affordability. However, the near certainty of future rate hikes will likely be a drag on affordability. Read More

Housing Interest Rates Federal Reserve Affordability

The Affordability Crisis That Isn't

By Mark Fleming on January 29, 2018
That nominal house prices are growing faster than household incomes is often used as the basis for arguing that we are facing an affordability crisis. It is true that unadjusted house prices grew faster than income between November 2016 and November 2017. Our Real House Price Index (RHPI) showed that unadjusted house prices increased by 6.0 ... Read More

Real House Price Index Affordability

Two Reasons Why the Housing Reservoir is Running Dangerously Low

By Mark Fleming on January 26, 2018
It’s been just over five years since house prices reached their trough and the housing market bottomed out. In the years following that low point, there has been a lot of discussion about how to increase demand and, specifically, why young adults today didn’t want to buy homes. I believed that the lack of desire among millennials was not a ... Read More

Housing Affordability