Why Homeowners Staying in their Homes Dampens the Housing Market

By Mark Fleming on October 18, 2018
While the housing market continues to underperform its potential by 7.2 percent, the gap between actual existing home sales and the market potential for home sales narrowed by 1 percent in September compared with August, according to our Potential Homes Sales model. However, even though the performance gap narrowed a bit, the housing market still ... Read More

Interest Rates Federal Reserve Homeownership

Why ARMs Today are Different

By Odeta Kushi on October 10, 2018
Adjustable-rate mortgages (ARMs), a symbol of the housing market crash, are making a comeback, but their resurgence is not an indicator of a potential negative turn in the housing market. An ARM is a mortgage that typically has a 30-year repayment term, but the interest rate is fixed for the first few years of the loan. Once the fixed period ends, ... Read More

Interest Rates Real House Price Index Affordability

Interview on CNBC: Discussing the impact of rising rates on affordability and home-buying demand

By FirstAm Editor on October 5, 2018
First American Chief Economist Mark Fleming was interviewed on CNBC yesterday and discussed the impact of rising interest rates on affordability and home-buying demand. Read More

Housing In The News Interest Rates Millennials Affordability

How Will Rising Mortgage Rates Impact Housing Affordability in 2019?

By Mark Fleming on September 24, 2018
The Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting is just around the corner and a rate hike is almost certain, according to experts, which will trigger conversations about rising mortgage rates across the housing industry. While changes to the federal funds rate won’t necessarily spur further increases in mortgage rates, mortgage rates are expected ... Read More

Interest Rates Real House Price Index Affordability

Interview on CNBC: Discussing the housing market’s potential shift toward a buyer’s market

By FirstAm Editor on September 21, 2018
First American Chief Economist Mark Fleming was interviewed on CNBC earlier this week and discussed the housing market’s potential shift toward a buyer’s market and the challenges facing the market: affordability and interest rates. Read More

Housing In The News Interest Rates Millennials Affordability

Does Rising Housing Inventory Signal the Beginning of a Buyer’s Market?

By Mark Fleming on September 17, 2018
Last month, we noted in our latest Real House Price Index (RHPI) report that house price appreciation may be slowing. According to our RHPI, 21 cities experienced a monthly decline in their real, consumer house-buying power-adjusted price level. One reason for the price appreciation slowdown is that 21 of the 50 largest cities in the U.S. ... Read More

Interest Rates Mortgages Real House Price Index Affordability Housing supply