The REconomy Podcast™: Why Labor Market Trends May Keep Mortgage Rates Near Record Lows Longer

By FirstAm Editor on September 23, 2021
In this episode of the REconomy Podcast™ from First American, Chief Economist Mark Fleming and Deputy Chief Economist Odeta Kushi explain why important labor market trends may influence the Federal Reserve’s decision to reverse its easy-money policies. Read More

Housing Interest Rates Affordability REconomy

How Does Delta Variant-Fueled Economic Uncertainty Impact Housing Market Potential?

By Mark Fleming on September 22, 2021
Housing market potential continued to strengthen in August, according to our Potential Home Sales Model, increasing 0.05 percent compared with July. The market potential for existing-home sales is now nearly 10 percent higher than in August of 2020, when the housing market’s summer rebound was ramping up following the initial pandemic-driven ... Read More

Interest Rates Homeownership Potential Home Sales

Today's House Prices Are Over 40 Percent More Affordable Than The Housing Boom Peak

By Mark Fleming on August 30, 2021
The Real House Price Index (RHPI) measures affordability in the context of changes in consumer house-buying power, incorporating fluctuations in household income, mortgage rates and nominal house prices. In June, housing affordability declined on a year-over-year basis for the fourth month in a row, following two years of increasing affordability. ... Read More

Interest Rates Real House Price Index Affordability

How the ‘Delta Dip’ Boosted Housing Market Potential

By Mark Fleming on August 20, 2021
Housing market potential strengthened in July, according to our Potential Home Sales Model, increasing 1.3 percent compared with June. It is now nearly 16 percent higher than in July of last year, when the housing market’s summer rebound began, following the initial pandemic-driven decline in the spring. Read More

Interest Rates Homeownership Potential Home Sales

Affordability Declined for Third Month in a Row

By Mark Fleming on July 27, 2021
Housing affordability declined on a year-over-year basis for the third month in a row in May, following a two-year streak of rising affordability. The decline in May occurred even as two of the three key drivers of the Real House Price Index (RHPI), household income and mortgage rates, swung in favor of greater affordability relative to one year ... Read More

Interest Rates Real House Price Index Affordability

Housing Supply Limiting Market Potential

By Mark Fleming on July 16, 2021
Housing market potential strengthened modestly in June, increasing 0.2 percent compared with May, according to our Potential Home Sales Model. Potential home sales are nearly 17 percent higher than the pandemic-driven decline last June. Read More

Interest Rates Homeownership Potential Home Sales