Housing Market Trends

From the First American Economic Center

The First American Economic Center has you covered with in-depth analysis and expert insights on the latest data and trends in the industry.

What Drives Loan Application Defect Risk at the Local Level?

By Mark Fleming on April 27, 2018
A common adage about real estate is that it’s local. The dynamics of one housing market can be very different from another depending on the local economy and access to natural amenities, like mountains or water. The levels of loan application defect, fraud and misrepresentation risk vary greatly based on local conditions as well. In fact, ... Read More

Housing Interest Rates Loan Application Defect Index

The Powerful Forces Reducing Affordability

By Mark Fleming on April 23, 2018
Last week, the average 30-year, fixed-rate mortgage rose 5 basis points to 4.46 percent, reaching its highest level since January of 2014. The consensus among economists is that the 30-year, fixed-rate mortgage will approach 5 percent by the end of this year. All else held equal, this will make housing more expensive. However, some perspective is ... Read More

Affordability

The Market Dynamics Fueling the Great Housing Shortage

By Mark Fleming on April 20, 2018
In March, the housing market continued to underperform its potential. Actual existing home sales are 4.5 percent below the market potential for home sales, according to our Potential Home Sales model. The lack of supply is the primary culprit. The inventory of homes for sale in most markets remains historically tight, yet demand continues to rise ... Read More

Housing Interest Rates Homeownership Progress Index

Two Trends Signal Housing Supply Relief on the Way

By Mark Fleming on April 18, 2018
It’s no secret that the limited supply of homes for sale is the biggest issue facing the housing market today. From a short-term perspective, this month’s overall pace of housing starts, 1.32 million units, may modestly alleviate the supply shortage. Housing starts increased 1.9 percent month over month and are 10.9 percent higher compared with ... Read More

Housing

Busting the Myth of the Millennial Renter Generation

By Mark Fleming on April 13, 2018
It’s a popular myth – the millennial generation is destined to be a generation of renters – avocado toast, anyone? With student loan debt burdens, the scars of the Great Recession, and limited housing supply, the myth is rooted in some real challenges for millennials. However, despite these challenges, millennials are not only interested in ... Read More

Millennials Homeownership Progress Index

Will Wage Growth Continue -- One Number May Tell the Story

By Mark Fleming on April 6, 2018
Today, the Bureau of Labor Statistics released the employment situation report for March. Here are the headlines. Total non-farm payroll jobs increased by 103,000 in March. Total non-farm payroll jobs have increased every month since October 2010. Since that date, the U.S. economy has added more than 17.5 million jobs. The unemployment rate ... Read More

Housing Income