Housing Market Trends

From the First American Economic Center

The First American Economic Center has you covered with in-depth analysis and expert insights on the latest data and trends in the industry.

Recent Posts by Mark Fleming

Mark Fleming is the chief economist for First American Financial Corporation and leads First American’s Decision Sciences team.

Based on FHFA Adjustment Technique, Loan Limit Not Likely To Increase

By Mark Fleming on November 25, 2015
Last week, I posted an analysis of the GSE Conforming loan limit and my expectation for how it might change in 2016. I based the analysis on my interpretation of the Housing and Economic Recovery Act of 2008 (HERA). Specifically, Section 1124 of the law, which states, “If the change in the house price index during the most recent 12-month or 4 ... Read More

Real House Price Index

Expectations of a Rate Increase Dampens Housing in October

By Mark Fleming on November 19, 2015
For the month of October, First American’s proprietary Existing-Home Sales Capacity (EHS-C) model showed that the market capacity for existing-home sales decreased by 3.1 percent compared to September and decreased by 7.3 percent compared to a year ago. The EHS-C provides a gauge on whether existing-homes sales are under capacity or over capacity ... Read More

Housing

A Conversation about Homeownership

By Mark Fleming on November 13, 2015
Earlier this week, I had the good fortune to do a radio interview with WSVA Virginia on our newly released Homeownership Progress Index (HPRI). In the interview we talked about the importance of homeownership as the primary vehicle for wealth creation for middle-class Americans, discussed underlying economic, demographic, and lifestyle conditions ... Read More

In The News Millennials Homeownership Progress Index Income

Existing-Home Sales Capacity Decreases 0.1 Percent In September

By Mark Fleming on October 22, 2015
Price appreciation fueled by low interest rates is driving market capacity for existing-home sales above actual existing-home sales First American’s proprietary Existing-Home Sales Capacity (EHS-C) model provides a gauge on whether existing-home sales are under capacity or over capacity based on current market fundamentals. For the month of ... Read More

Housing

Fear and loathing in homeownership

By Mark Fleming on October 20, 2015
Achieving the American Dream of homeownership and increasing economic mobility – many recognize that these issues are important, but few realize how closely they are related. Consider that in the next 30 years, collectively, minorities will become the new "minority-majority" in the U.S. Read More

Income

HELOCS Poised to Surge

By Mark Fleming on October 16, 2015
Home equity is back, baby! And, perhaps more importantly, consumers are beginning to take notice. After 13 consecutive quarters of year-over-year house price growth, according to the Federal Housing Finance Agency’s (FHFA) house price index (HPI), and with the Great Recession squarely in the rear view mirror, borrowers are more frequently tapping ... Read More

Interest Rates