Recent Posts by Mark Fleming

Mark Fleming is the chief economist for First American Financial Corporation and leads First American’s Decision Sciences team.

Potential Homeownership Demand Unfazed By Rising Rates

By Mark Fleming on July 9, 2018
As we reflect on our country’s recent Independence Day commemoration, we find that the desire to achieve the American dream of homeownership still exists. Because, while the U.S. homeownership rate remains close to half-century lows, demand is strong, especially among millennials. In fact, results of our Real Estate Sentiment Index survey of title ... Read More

Housing Millennials Homeownership Progress Index

Good Timing: Loan Application Defect and Fraud Risk Drops as Home Purchases Take Higher Share of Mortgage Market

By Mark Fleming on June 28, 2018
By now, everyone in the mortgage industry is aware that we are entering a market that will be dominated by purchase demand for the next several years. According to the latest Mortgage Bankers Association forecast, refinance transactions will make up 28 percent of total mortgages originated in 2018 and is forecasted to drop to 23 percent by 2020. ... Read More

Interest Rates Fraud Loan Application Defect Index

House Prices Continue to Rise, but House-Buying Power Still Near Historic Highs

By Mark Fleming on June 25, 2018
The Real House Price Index (RHPI) views house prices in relation to consumer house-buying power, incorporating household income, mortgage rates, and an unadjusted house price index. When incomes rise, consumer house-buying power increases. When mortgage rates or house prices rise, consumer house-buying power declines. Read More

Real House Price Index Affordability

Mind the Gap…Between Household Formation and Home Building

By Mark Fleming on June 20, 2018
Closing the Housing Stock Gap Today’s Census Bureau report sends an optimistic message about the housing market. Building permits increased 8.0 percent since this time last year, while housing starts rose 20.3 percent. The year-over-year increase in housing starts tells us that an increase in new housing supply is on the way. The pace of housing ... Read More

Housing

What's the Outlook for Housing Market Potential Amid Rising Mortgage Rates?

By Mark Fleming on June 18, 2018
With the Federal Reserve Open Market Committee (FOMC) decision to increase the Federal Funds Rate last week, the prospect of higher mortgage rates remains top of mind among real estate professionals and continues to generate headlines. Yet, changes to the short-term rate matter little to the housing market. Read More

Housing Interest Rates Federal Reserve

Will First-Time Home Buyer Demand Withstand Rising Rates?

By Mark Fleming on June 12, 2018
Given the strong likelihood of rising mortgage rates in 2018, many savvy real estate market observers are curious how rising rates may impact demand, especially among millennial first-time home buyers. As part of our quarterly First American Real Estate Sentiment Index (RESI), we recently surveyed title insurance agents and real estate ... Read More

Housing Millennials Real Estate Sentiment Index