In May 2022, the Real House Price Index (RHPI) jumped up by 50.8 percent year over year, which is the fastest growth in the more than 30-year history of the series. This rapid annual decline in affordability was driven by a 20.... Read More›
Recent Posts by Mark Fleming

Will Rising Mortgage Rates Trigger An 'arms' Race For Home Buyers?
How The Fundamentals Influencing Housing Market Potential Have Changed
The market potential for existing-home sales in June was estimated to be 5.47 million at a seasonally adjusted annualized rate (SAAR), down 2.5 percent compared to last month, and 13.1 percent lower than one year ago, which is near the same level as in... Read More›
Affordability Declines To Its Lowest Level Since 2007
In April 2022, the Real House Price Index (RHPI) jumped up by 45.6 percent compared with a year ago, accelerating faster than any other point in the 30-year history of the series. This rapid annual decline in affordability was ... Read More›
Two Trends Slowing Housing Market Normalization
The market potential for existing-home sales in May fell 2 percent to 5.62 million at a seasonally adjusted annualized rate (SAAR), compared with last month, and is 10.5 percent lower than one year ago. Yet, the market potential for home sales remains ... Read More›
How Aggressive Will The Fed Need To Be To Get Inflation Under Control?
The dual mandate of the Federal Reserve is to maintain stable inflation and full employment, and while the latter goal has mostly been achieved post-pandemic, the former remains far from target. One of the primary instruments of monetary policy the Fed... Read More›
The Housing Market Is Slowing By Design, But Don't Expect A Bust
In March 2022, the Real House Price Index (RHPI) increased 32.5 percent year over year, which is the fastest growth in the more than 30-year history of the series. This rapid annual decline in affordability was driven by ... Read More›