Millennials Remain Driving Force in Housing Market Potential

By Mark Fleming on January 19, 2022
The final Potential Home Sales Model report of 2021 revealed that market potential ended the year on a strong note. While the winter months are traditionally real estate’s slow season, our measure of the market potential for existing-home sales showed the housing market again broke with traditional seasonal patterns by ending the year strong. In ... Read More

Interest Rates Potential Home Sales tenure

Will Rising Mortgage Rates Slow Sales?

By Mark Fleming on December 22, 2021
In November 2021, housing market potential decreased modestly month-over-month to a 6.26 million seasonally adjusted annualized rate (SAAR), according to our Potential Home Sales (PHS) model. Housing market potential in November increased 7.2 percent compared with one year ago and remains significantly higher than the pre-pandemic level. Demand ... Read More

Interest Rates Potential Home Sales tenure

Why Housing Market Potential Keeps Rising

By Mark Fleming on November 22, 2021
In September 2021, existing-home sales increased to a 6.29 million seasonally adjusted annualized rate (SAAR). Prior to the pandemic, the housing market had not reached this sales pace since 2006. We may see another strong month in October, as housing market potential increased 10.3 percent compared with one year ago to 6.27 million (SAAR), ... Read More

Interest Rates Potential Home Sales tenure

Do Rising House Prices Help or Hurt the Housing Market?

By Mark Fleming on October 15, 2021
Housing market potential strengthened modestly in September, increasing a 0.4 percent compared with August, according to our Potential Home Sales Model. The slight increase means that on a year-over-year basis, housing market potential is now nearly 9 percent higher than in September 2020, when the housing market’s summer rebound was accelerating, ... Read More

Interest Rates Homeownership Potential Home Sales

How Does Delta Variant-Fueled Economic Uncertainty Impact Housing Market Potential?

By Mark Fleming on September 22, 2021
Housing market potential continued to strengthen in August, according to our Potential Home Sales Model, increasing 0.05 percent compared with July. The market potential for existing-home sales is now nearly 10 percent higher than in August of 2020, when the housing market’s summer rebound was ramping up following the initial pandemic-driven ... Read More

Interest Rates Homeownership Potential Home Sales

How the ‘Delta Dip’ Boosted Housing Market Potential

By Mark Fleming on August 20, 2021
Housing market potential strengthened in July, according to our Potential Home Sales Model, increasing 1.3 percent compared with June. It is now nearly 16 percent higher than in July of last year, when the housing market’s summer rebound began, following the initial pandemic-driven decline in the spring. Read More

Interest Rates Homeownership Potential Home Sales