What Will Drive House-Buying Power in 2020?

By Mark Fleming on December 20, 2019
Affordability improved in October as two of the three key drivers of the Real House Price Index (RHPI), household income and mortgage rates, modestly swung in favor of increased affordability relative to one year ago. The 30-year, fixed-rate mortgage fell by 1.1 percentage points and household income increased 2.6 percent compared with October ... Read More

Interest Rates Real House Price Index Affordability

Will Housing Market Potential in 2020 Exceed 2019?

By Mark Fleming on December 18, 2019
In November 2019, the housing market outperformed its potential, as actual existing-home sales exceeded market potential by 2.8 percent, or an estimated 146,340 seasonally adjusted annualized sales. Housing market potential increased 1.4 percent relative to last month and 3.9 percent compared with November of last year, an increase of 196,480 ... Read More

Interest Rates Potential Home Sales Tenure

Has Rising House-Buying Power Accelerated House Price Appreciation?

By Mark Fleming on November 26, 2019
Two of the three key drivers of the Real House Price Index (RHPI), household income and mortgage rates, modestly swung in favor of increased affordability in September, yet affordability declined month over month. The 30-year, fixed-rate mortgage fell by 0.01 percentage points and household income increased 0.03 percent compared with August 2019. ... Read More

Interest Rates Real House Price Index Affordability

What Do Rising Rates and Tenure Length Mean for Housing Market Potential in 2020?

By Mark Fleming on November 20, 2019
In October 2019, the housing market exceeded its potential, as actual existing-home sales exceeded market potential by 4.6 percent, or an estimated 239,000 seasonally adjusted annualized sales. Housing market potential decreased relative to last month, but increased 0.6 percent compared with October of last year. Read More

Interest Rates Potential Home Sales Tenure

The Dynamic Forces that Re-Shaped Housing Affordability in 2019

By Mark Fleming on October 28, 2019
Understanding the dynamics that influence consumer house-buying power, how much home one can buy based on changes in income and interest rates, provides a helpful perspective on the housing market. When incomes rise, consumer house-buying power increases. When mortgage rates or nominal house prices rise, consumer house-buying power declines. Our ... Read More

Interest Rates Real House Price Index Affordability

What’s the Outlook for Housing Market Potential for the Rest of 2019?

By Mark Fleming on October 18, 2019
In September 2019, the housing market performed to its potential, as actual existing-home sales were a marginal 0.04 percent, or an estimated 2,340 seasonally adjusted annualized sales, below market potential. Housing market potential decreased relative to last month, but increased 3.8 percent compared with September of last year. Indeed, in ... Read More

Interest Rates Potential Home Sales Tenure