The Impact of the Credit Crunch on Housing Market Potential

By Mark Fleming on April 17, 2020
The coronavirus pandemic continues to take hold of the domestic and global economy. The housing market, although in a better position than it was at the onset of the last recession, will not be immune to the impact. Weekly unemployment claims have soared to record highs, which has already contributed to declining consumer confidence. Read More

Interest Rates Potential Home Sales Tenure

Housing Market Potential Reaches Its Highest Level in Nearly Two Years

By Mark Fleming on February 20, 2020
The housing market started the year off strong, with the market potential for existing-home sales reaching its highest level since January 2018, according to our Potential Home Sales Model. Housing market potential increased 1.4 percent in January 2020 relative to the previous month, and grew 4.7 percent year over year, an increase of 240,050 ... Read More

Interest Rates Potential Home Sales Tenure

How Low Mortgage Rates Help and Hurt Housing Market Potential

By Mark Fleming on January 22, 2020
The final month of 2019 saw actual existing-home sales exceed housing market potential by 1.2 percent, or an estimated 64,830 seasonally adjusted annualized sales. According to our Potential Home Sales Model, housing market potential increased 1.7 percent in December 2019 relative to the previous month, and grew 2.6 percent year over year, an ... Read More

Interest Rates Potential Home Sales Tenure

Will Housing Market Potential in 2020 Exceed 2019?

By Mark Fleming on December 18, 2019
In November 2019, the housing market outperformed its potential, as actual existing-home sales exceeded market potential by 2.8 percent, or an estimated 146,340 seasonally adjusted annualized sales. Housing market potential increased 1.4 percent relative to last month and 3.9 percent compared with November of last year, an increase of 196,480 ... Read More

Interest Rates Potential Home Sales Tenure

What Do Rising Rates and Tenure Length Mean for Housing Market Potential in 2020?

By Mark Fleming on November 20, 2019
In October 2019, the housing market exceeded its potential, as actual existing-home sales exceeded market potential by 4.6 percent, or an estimated 239,000 seasonally adjusted annualized sales. Housing market potential decreased relative to last month, but increased 0.6 percent compared with October of last year. Read More

Interest Rates Potential Home Sales Tenure

What’s the Outlook for Housing Market Potential for the Rest of 2019?

By Mark Fleming on October 18, 2019
In September 2019, the housing market performed to its potential, as actual existing-home sales were a marginal 0.04 percent, or an estimated 2,340 seasonally adjusted annualized sales, below market potential. Housing market potential decreased relative to last month, but increased 3.8 percent compared with September of last year. Indeed, in ... Read More

Interest Rates Potential Home Sales Tenure