Recent Posts by Mark Fleming

Mark Fleming is the chief economist for First American Financial Corporation and leads First American’s Decision Sciences team.

Era of Uncertainty Continues to Drive Consumer House-Buying Power

By Mark Fleming on July 25, 2016
First American’s proprietary Real House Price Index (RHPI) looks at May 2016 data and includes analysis from First American Chief Economist Mark Fleming explaining the forces behind the continued low mortgage rate environment and the impact on consumer house-buying power. Read More

Interest Rates Real House Price Index Income

Did the Housing Market Rebound Red or Blue?

By Mark Fleming on July 22, 2016
With the national conventions for the major political parties upon us and the presidential election just a few months away, talk of red versus blue states frequently bubbles up in the media and at the water cooler. Cutting-edge statistical analysis is regularly updated to keep up with the fast changing dynamics of the country’s political leanings. Read More

Interest Rates Real House Price Index Income

Market at Potential in Era of Low Interest Rates and Job Growth

By Mark Fleming on July 20, 2016
For the month of June, First American’s proprietary Potential Home Sales model showed that the market for existing-home sales is underperforming its potential by only 0.3 percent or an estimated 17,000 seasonally adjusted, annualized rate (SAAR) of sales, an improvement over last month’s revised performance gap of -3.1 percent or 180,000 (SAAR) ... Read More

Housing Interest Rates

Market Activity Moves Closer To Potential

By Mark Fleming on June 16, 2016
For the month of May, First American’s proprietary Potential Home Sales model showed that the market for existing-home sales is underperforming its potential by 2.8 percent or by an estimated 156,000 seasonally adjusted, annualized rate (SAAR) of sales. While still underperforming, this is an improvement over last month’s underperformance gap of ... Read More

Housing

Really, How Important is That Rate Hike?

By Mark Fleming on June 13, 2016
With the upcoming Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting this week, many are wondering if an interest rate hike is in the works. According to the CME FedWatch Tool, the current market expectation of a 0.50 percent rate increase in June is extremely low – 4 percent. However, the likelihood jumps to 27 percent in July. But, whether the Fed ... Read More

Interest Rates Real House Price Index Federal Reserve Income

Home Sellers Who Don't Want to be Buyers

By Mark Fleming on May 31, 2016
Earlier this month, I had the opportunity to appear on the Lykken on Lending Blog Talk radio show. On the broadcast, we discussed the National Association of Realtors (NAR) existing-home sales numbers that are released monthly. As you may be aware from my recent comments here and here, I believe that existing home sales have been underperforming ... Read More

Housing