Key Points: The industrial real estate market is stabilizing after a period of rapid growth, with supply outpacing demand, leading to higher vacancy rates and more tenant-friendly conditions through 2025. Construction of new industrial space has slowed significantly, which will allow demand to gradually catch up and prevent prolonged oversupply. ...
Read More ›Industrial CRE: From Pandemic Darling to the Goldilocks Era
Commercial Real Estate Industrial Real Estate Potential Cap Rate Model
Multifamily Poised for Resilience Amid Macroeconomic Turbulence
Key Points: Multifamily cap rates have stabilized at around 5.7 percent after peaking in early 2024. First American’s Multifamily Potential Cap Rate Model predicts a slight decline in multifamily cap rates by year’s end, driven by rising sales activity and renter household formation. While certain markets are oversupplied, the national scarcity of ...
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Why DeepSeek May Signal Greater Data Center Demand, Not Less
Key Points: Technological advancements like DeepSeek may paradoxically increase overall data center demand despite improved efficiency. Constraints on data center supply include significant requirements for electricity and water, as well as specialized expertise for construction and operation. The strong, long-term demand drivers for data centers ...
Read More ›Multifamily Cap Rates Are Poised to Decline in 2025
Key Points: Multifamily cap rates appear poised to decline for the first time in nearly two years. Using First American’s Multifamily Potential Cap Rate Model, we forecast that multifamily cap rates are likely to gradually decline throughout 2025. The return of declining cap rates would be a sign that buyers are becoming more comfortable with ...
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Have Multifamily Cap Rates Peaked?
The last three and a half years have been a whipsaw of a ride for the multifamily market. Following the surge in leasing demand during the pandemic, demand to own apartment buildings boomed, which drove transaction volume to record highs. Shortly thereafter, the Federal Reserve began raising interest rates to combat inflation that turned out not ...
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What’s that Apartment Building Worth? Fewer Multifamily Transactions Drive Market Uncertainty
It’s hard to know what apartment buildings are worth nowadays. With multifamily transaction volume at its lowest point in four years, comparable transactions, or “comps”, which are often used as a reference point to estimate value, are few and far between. The limited availability of comps increases the uncertainty of property valuation estimates. ...
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What’s Behind the Surge in Industrial Cap Rates?
Though the industrial market is softening compared to the pandemic days of double-digit rent growth and record-low vacancy, it is far from weak. Despite slowing rent growth and modestly rising vacancies, demand to lease industrial space remains strong, driven by long-term trends such as rising eCommerce sales, retailers’ need for modern logistics ...
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Pandemic Aftershocks Drive Industrial Cap Rates Higher
The state of today’s industrial commercial real estate (CRE) can largely be explained as the result of pandemic-related aftershocks. During the pandemic, e-commerce sales soared as millions of stuck-at-home consumers turned to online retailers to purchase goods. Meanwhile, COVID-19 disrupted global supply chains, which made it more difficult for ...
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Multifamily capitalization (cap) rates have now increased for three consecutive quarters, the first time since the Great Financial Crisis. This is a sign that investors are requiring higher yields today in order to purchase a property.
Read More ›Uncertain Economic Outlook Keeps Renters Where They Are, Pushing Cap Rates Up
In times of economic uncertainty, people tend to stay put. After all, why take on new financial obligations, like an apartment lease, when the future is less certain? Today, though unemployment remains low, inflation remains high, and the recent slew of layoffs at tech companies has many worried about their own financial position. The recent, ...
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